Total Solar Eclipse - West Cornwall - 1999

Solar Eclipse - Penzance - 1999

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Solar Eclipse PenzanceImplications of the eclipseCornwall 1999surf

Total Solar Eclipse
Implications of the eclipse for Cornwall 1999


Implications of the eclipse for Cornwall 1999
Eclipse view towards St Michaels Mount | News Items & Totality Map

An Archive document:-

IMPLICATIONS OF THE ECLIPSE ON 11 AUG 99



From: Gage Williams OBE
The Cornish Eclipse County Planning Co-ordinator
Menkee, St Mabyn, Bodmin, Cornwall, PL30 3DD
Tel - 01208 841378,
Fax  - 01208 841626,
03/01/99 19:22


AIMS

To identify the implications of the eclipse for Cornwall and to propose how these might best be managed.


INTRODUCTION

1. There will be a total eclipse of the sun in the late morning of 11 August 1999.  Within the UK, the eclipse will be seen in its totality only in the south western 80% of Cornwall and in south western Devon. The area in Cornwall and Devon south of the line running from Port Quinn to Teignmouth will lie within the area of totality.  The sun and the moon will first ‘touch’ at about 09.57 am.  The moon will totally cover the sun on the centre line of totality which runs approximately through Penzance and Falmouth for about 2 minutes and 6 seconds from 11.11 am. The sun and the moon will finally ‘separate’ at about 12.35 pm when normal daylight conditions will return. While the centre line does not run through Devon, it has almost as much geographic area in the area of totality as Cornwall. The rest of the UK will experience a partial eclipse whereby the moon will not totally block out the sun.  The path of totality will also pass through France, Germany, Austria, Turkey, the Middle East, Pakistan and India.

2. The last total eclipse in the British Isles was visible in the Shetlands on 30 June 1954. The last total eclipse visible from mainland UK was on 29 June 1927; totality lasted just 25 seconds.  Three million people allegedly moved to see this eclipse in Northern England despite lack of cars; the biggest recorded movement of people by train. The next total eclipse of the sun will occur on mainland UK on 23 September 2090.

3. There has been considerable interest shown by the media in next year’s eclipse, an interest heightened by the awareness of the approach to the millennium.  Indeed, the BBC, Sky News and WestCountry TV are predicting that the eclipse will be the most significant European event of 1999.  The BBC estimates that up to 6,000 members of the international media will be in Cornwall for the eclipse as not only is Cornwall the first land fall for an eclipse which will be seen by more people than any in history, but also Cornwall is English speaking.

4. 11 August 1999 is a Wednesday; a day when commuters will wish to travel to work; mid-harvest; mid-tourist season; and in the midst of the summer school and university holidays.  Added interest will be generated by the study of the eclipse being a central focus of the 98/99 national core curriculum for science for all schools; many schools have already booked school visits to the county.

NUMBERS OF ADDITIONAL VISITORS TO CORNWALL

5. There is no recent precedent for assessing the likely numbers of additional visitors on top of the 250,000 tourists who would be in Cornwall in a normal August.  Friends and visiting relatives probably account for a further 40,000 at this time of year.  Modelling based on the capacity of the three main roads leading into Cornwall has indicated that the roads system can bring about 200,000 new people into or out of the county per day, a figure in line with a normal August changeover Saturday.

6.  While the above does not include those arriving on regular and special trains, on cruise liners, by yacht and by air, these are unlikely to bring in more than an additional 100,000 visitors over the period. The numbers coming ashore temporarily from cruise liners and recreational small craft should not be underestimated.

7.  Many eclipse followers will choose South Devon rather than Cornwall which is a shorter drive and is more accessible by road.  Others may decide to avoid the over-crowded SW by going to the Continent where the path of totality will be more accessible.  Early bookings in the west of Cornwall have been made for almost as many two week holidays as for one week.  Normally, only 10% of visitors stay for two weeks or longer.  Those booking for two weeks if travelling over weekends will be split between those arriving 10 days before and staying for 4 days after and vice versa.  A proportion of the 4.5 million students and New Age Travellers may choose to spend several weeks in Cornwall.  Telephone surveys of accommodation providers, to include a random sampling of Cornish households, to be conducted by Cornwall College at the end of each month starting in January, will give an indication of numbers making reservations and their arrival and departure dates.  While the numbers shown in the graph below are at this stage purely illustrative, the numbers of visitors and their duration may resemble:

THE CHALLENGES

8. The first challenge will be to ensure that best use is made of this heaven sent opportunity to promote Cornwall for pleasure and business to many additional visitors, many of whom will be first time visitors.  This will be at a time when the Cornish infrastructure is at full capacity in a normal August; ingenuity and improvisation will be required to ensure that the extra eclipse visitors are not put at risk.

9. If the illustrative numbers shown in the chart above are close, then the average number of people in the weeks before and after eclipse week (Fri 30 July to Sat 7 Aug and Sat 14 Aug to Sun 22 Aug) will be about 400,000 compared to the normal 290,000 tourists and visiting friends and relatives in a normal August.  However, there is likely to be a sharp increase during eclipse week caused by visitors coming for one week or less.  The illustrative numbers show an average of just over 1 million visitors for eclipse week.  The Highways working party estimates that the county road system can cope with a visitor population of about 750,000.  While this figure is in excess of what the county infrastructure can bear, the duration is relatively short.  Further, during eclipse week, many road users will reduce their journeys to essential trips; in effect, for a relatively short period, traffic is likely to be self-regulating provided people are given accurate information on traffic conditions.  In particular, it will be hard to assess the numbers of students spending their summer in Cornwall as many will not bother to reserve accommodation and will attempt to camp by tradition, on beaches and elsewhere.   The second challenge will be to ensure that the infrastructure does not break down.

MOVEMENT

10. General:  If business is to continue over the period 30 July to 23 August when numbers will be at their highest, it will be important to ensure that visitors, many of whom will be camping in temporary campsites, do not have to drive out of their campsite when shopping for food, newspapers, drink and camp supplies.  Planning officers are considering how this can best be achieved.  Those campsite providers not prepared to ‘set up shop’ will need mobile shops and banks to visit their sites on a regular basis. Those taking bookings for all types of accommodation should encourage people to stay for two or more weeks in order to reduce traffic problems; normally insist on visitors booking for at least a week; and if possible allow changeover days other than Saturday.

Road:

11. Road problems will be eased as Devon and Cornwall have already planned to have no road works over the period 30 July to 23 August 1999 inclusive.  Road works on the M4 and M5 outside of Devon will be subject to roadwork embargoes.  Road signs telling motorists the frequency they should switch to for information on the eclipse and traffic news will need to be placed on the roads heading south west as far north as Birmingham and to the east as far as Swindon.   While general updates will be given by all the main radio stations, there will be a need for more specific information to be given by commercial FM stations taking out temporary Radio Service Licences similar to FM Tall Ships.  This specific information will be garnered from a combination of police, AA and RAC reports supplemented by major road trip recorders and companies such as Trafficmaster which provide motorist clients with accurate forecasts of journey times and known congestion.

12. There are no plans to introduce one way systems on major roads as the safety problems outweigh any likely increases in flow that might be achieved.  However, there may be localised one way schemes put in place to alleviate known pinch points such as Dobwalls and Camelford to allow the free flow of traffic and the movement of the emergency services.  The emergency planning, highways and police planning teams are addressing these issues.

13. Cars:  Sharing of cars should be encouraged by national  media announcements.  To alleviate demand for fuel, drivers should be advised to fill up their cars before entering Cornwall, bring water for boiling over or to drink, cash and initial food supplies as shopping may be difficult on arrival.  Pets should be discouraged.

Coaches:

14. Coaches should be encouraged as each carries the equivalent of 15 carloads. Day trip coach parties should be avoided as regardless of advice, traffic will be very heavy on the eclipse day.  This will require coaches to stay with their passengers and tour operators will need to offer a complete package including accommodation and visits to county attractions.  The initiative on this could be taken by the theme parks and associations such as CATA directly with the tour operators. The many cruise liners anchored off the south coast (and rail passengers) will require coaches or rented transport to take parties to activities and attractions ashore.  Local authorities should consider making use of coaches which have delivered their visitors as additional transport for park and ride schemes necessary for many towns and certain special events.

Haulage:

15. Food, beverage, fuel, waste, recovery and other haulage users will be greatly increased over the eclipse two weeks.  The lack of warehousing due to Cornwall being increasingly resupplied within the day from Central England as the roads have improved coupled with the prevalence of ‘just-in-time’ stock keeping will exacerbate this problem.  The roads will be congested regardless of the measures taken; this will increase journey times to a level requiring truck drivers to stay overnight rather complete their usual round trips from, say, Bristol to Penzance in the day.  Most hauliers and distributors have decided to make all deliveries at night time.  Consideration should be given by district councils to relaxing restrictions on delivery times in towns.   Temporary warehousing should be made available - for example, at unoccupied business parks, surplus RAF and RN hangars and bulb and vegetable chiller facilities etc.  RAF St Mawgan has offered a secure free-standing space for petrol and diesel to be kept on tanker trailers.

 
16. The dependence of the county on outside food supplies will offer great opportunities for local food growers to supply directly to the supermarkets which may result, if successful, in long term contracts. Farmers will also be able to sell directly to the public at campsites and at roadside shops.  Emergency items such as blood and drugs or high value food items may have to be flown in and then moved onwards by helicopter while casualties which cannot be treated in the county may have to evacuated by specially fitted aircraft.  RAF St Mawgan has already anticipated this last requirement.

17. Harvesting:

11 August is usually in the midst of the main harvest.  Accessing major roads from fields may be difficult.  Farmers (e.g. through the NFU) are considering the implications of all this for their work.

18. Commuting:

Employers not involved directly with the eclipse, should consider a holiday on 11 August and introduce flexible hours or ‘work from home’ during the two week period.  Some may have to provide temporary accommodation at the workplace.  Public bodies need to identify key officers required throughout the period and ensure that their leave is taken at another time.  Emergency services have considered leave arrangements over the period 30 July to 23 August.

Rail:

19. Railtrack should minimise repair work which might delay trains over August.  Great Western, Virgin and other operators will need to co-operate with one another in order to meet the increased demand for rail travel over the period.  For example, Heritage Tours has already booked two trains, an airliner and a cruise liner.  Penzance will receive 7 additional trains; the trains’ organiser is currently seeking ways to move the passengers to Lands End.  One of these trains is planning an overnight stay and has told its passengers to make their own arrangements for accommodation which is likely to result in some sleeping rough in the town.  Special trains should clearly offer a complete package.  The rail system should be able to handle 31 trains per day, an increase on the current 22.  Rail companies are unwilling or unable to add an extra goods wagon for bicycles.  There is an opportunity for an operator to rent out bicycles at the Cornish stations.

20. The supermarkets and other bulk suppliers should look to the railways or shipping to alleviate their resupply problems.  This may lead to continuing contracts with rail and shipping companies.  For example, ECC International has empty trains and shipping entering the county on a regular basis.  If the sidings exist, surplus railway carriages might be provided for accommodation.

Sea:

21. There will be sizeable and unpredictable numbers of visitors who will come to the county by boat - private yachts, motor boats and cruise liners.  Additional moorings will need to be provided.  The eclipse coincides with the Falmouth (eclipse week) and Fowey (week after) regattas and also with the Fastnet race with a history indicating that fair weather cannot be guaranteed.  Many of the yachts visiting will be crewed by amateur recreational sailors possibly on their first long journey from the Solent and elsewhere.  The Coast Guard and Search and Rescue implications are considerable.  The Royal Navy and Coast Guard could play a key co-ordinating role as well having a unique opportunity to show themselves off to the public.  There may be a need for a communications policy as VHF channels will be crowded.  There may also be a need to appoint a marine strategy co-ordinator.

22. While arrival by boat or liner is to be encouraged as a means of easing the pressure on the roads, it may place extra pressure on food and other resources such as repair and fuelling facilities provided by the south coast ports and harbours.  Chandlers will need to hold additional stocks.  Main attractions need to make early plans with cruise liner operators to ensure that their passengers are able to visit by coach or by other means.  The car rental firms should also be made aware of the opportunities available to them from this and also from other visitors who arrive by rail and air. Although at the busiest time of year, the ferry lines may be able to provide a service for three weeks over the eclipse from, say, Southampton to Plymouth or Falmouth, which has no roll on/roll off facilitie,s thereby enabling motorists to avoid likely traffic congestion.

Air:

23. Some visitors will choose to avoid the congested roads by air travel; the airlines should prepare for an increase in demand for flights and pressure on the slender airport, AVGAS and car rental resources in the county.  RAF St Mawgan has contracted International Air Tattoos to run its annual Air Day on the afternoon of the eclipse.  About twenty wide-bodied jets are expected to fly leading industrialists in to see the eclipse and the air display.

 
24. Large numbers of privately owned aircraft, micro-lights and balloons will visit the county.  Many lack the radios to enable them to conform with air space management instructions and night navigation aids and lights which will be required for the darker periods of the eclipse. RAF St Mawgan, the regional airports and the CAA are currently discussing any special measures required for air space management as currently Cornish air space is a ‘free’ zone with few restrictions.

25. RAF St Mawgan will offer camping facilities to the public for a period of about ten days to cover the eclipse at St Eval airfield and possibly also at Portreath.  RNAS Culdrose will provide facilities for emergency services should these be required as well as offering facilities to the public.  The large numbers of young people who would attend would offer excellent recruiting opportunities.  The sites have well rehearsed traffic and parking plans.

26. Other:  Consideration could be given to establishing cycling routes into the county building on the existing work done by Sustrans with the Bristol to Padstow cyclepath and other parts of the new national network. There are considerable advantages in maximising the number of cyclists as their resource requirements are less than for motorists.  Further, car parking space at Cornwall’s main visitor attractions will be insufficient whereas visiting cyclists require little space.  The main attractions should provide touring maps for cyclists showing camp sites, B&B etc in between the attractions.  Visitors in cars should be advised to bring bicycles as touring from their campsite may be difficult by car. The above applies also to hikers.  The eclipse will give the National Trust a great opportunity to publicise the South West Coastal Route which is a new facility less dependent upon mid-summer visitors.

PARKING

27. Parking difficulties will arise when visitors attempt to shop or visit the main attractions where capacity has been tailored to meet the normal mid August surge in numbers.  There will be a shortage of Park and Ride buses as buses will at a premium.  One of the consequences of this may be long queues of traffic at the access points to supermarkets, shopping centres and petrol stations.  Queues in hot weather result in vehicles boiling over, extra fuel consumption and greatly lengthened journey times which in turn increases the numbers of vehicles on the roads at any one time. Traffic direction will be needed at potential choke points and special parking restrictions and relaxations may be required.  Supermarkets, shopping centres and petrol stations will need to be encouraged to provide a full 24 hour service throughout the 3 week eclipse period.

28. Parking at campsites and open air festivals should only prove a problem should there be wet weather, problems which are typified by wet days at the Royal Cornwall Show.  There will be a need for additional recovery provided by the AA and RAC and others.  Campsite slope gradients should allow for wet weather conditions and plans made for wet weather recovery.

29. Throughout the period, there will be a need for police or military air cover to monitor traffic flows and relay to local radio and TV the areas of congestion to be avoided and to advise on routes and times for people to make their journeys. Additional portaloos and refreshments need to be provided in more lay-bys than at present as these will inevitably be used more due to long slow journeys and as unsanctioned temporary campsites.

ACCOMMODATION

30. Serviced: The 1995 Tourist Survey identified 33,000 serviced beds provided by hotels, motels, farmhouses, guest houses, B&B and inns.  Proprietors should be encouraged to increase the number of beds they can offer.  Hoteliers may wish to ‘Adopt a B&B’ as an annexe for their hotel.  The biggest increase can be provided by families providing B&B albeit on a temporary basis.  Often this will include camping in the garden. Many of these will be non-paying ‘Visiting friends and relatives’ (VFRs).  Householders will need practical guidance to ensure that standards are maintained and that health, indemnity and safety requirements are met.  There is a strong probability that this will result in many families providing B&B on a more permanent and regulated basis during future summer seasons when there is always a shortage of beds.  The extra number which could be accommodated in this way is considerable. The Cornwall College monthly surveys will attempt to assess the number staying with households which may prove critical because they will place a greater load on the infrastructure than campers.

31. Self Cater and Caravans:  The 1995 Survey identified 65,000 self cater beds in the county, of which 28,000 are provided by caravan sites.  Caravan site owners could liase directly with adjoining farmers to increase temporarily the acreage of their sites. Existing campsites may either have difficulty in extending their areas or be reluctant to increase the density of their campers and caravans.  In which case, they may wish to ‘adopt a farmer’ with land nearby as a form of overflow for the extra bookings they are bound to receive.  They could provide the adopted farmer with expertise and perhaps funding for any facilities they deem essential to maintain standards.

Camping:

32. This leaves camping to pick up the additional numbers.  Farmers may rent out land for camping (without caravans) for four weeks of any year as a campsite without planning permission (with the exception of Article 4 scheduled land) - however, local authorities must be notified.  If more than three caravans are catered for, planning consent will be required.  A high percentage of visitors will be in the 16 to 24 age bracket, comprising nearly 5,000,000 UK citizens, who are likely to be more prepared to camp than other age groups.  Many will be students with long summer vacations who may well arrive before 30 July and stay for longer than 23 August.  Camping already accounts for about 150,000 of the 250,000 visitors staying in Cornwall at peak season.  The existing sites should be able to double their numbers by a combination of increasing camping densities, taking on adjoining fields and many of the less well sited campsites have spare space even in August.  Despite this, there will be a need for additional approved campsites if large scale casual and uncontrolled camping is to be avoided.  New Age Travellers will be a specific issue to be addressed.

33. Many of these additional spaces may be provided by farmers.  However, to do so, sufficient water points and toilet facilities (about 1 loo per 30 males and per 25 females) will have to be provided.  When planning for caravans, the normal density is 25 to 30 per acre; for camping, about 40 ‘pitches’ per acre.  Recommended planning densities and requirements can be obtained by calling 08706 08 11 99  and requesting the information pack which includes a proforma which has been put together by the district planning and environmental health officers.

34. While farmers will provide accommodation for many, another approach is also to allow a number of large campsites each holding, say, 20,000 people.  The scale of these campsites would  ensure that proper facilities are installed probably with the site being subdivided into ten or so ‘villages’ each with its own shops, pub, fast food providers, cashpoints, telephones and entertainment.  More importantly, these facilities would reduce the need for the campers to take to the roads for shopping and they are likely to remain in camp to view the eclipse.  Planning consent would be needed and conditions imposed which may include provision of water and sewage treatment so as to reduce the impact upon the county infrastructure.  SWW has stated that all camping sewage will have to be stored for treatment later as their sewage facilities will be fully stretched by the extra visitors staying with households.

35. Villages and local schools may wish to establish temporary campsites on village greens, play parks and school playing fields.  Careful liaison will be needed between schools and the emergency planning organisation as many of these facilities are earmarked as rest or control centres in emergency contingency plans.

FOOD

36. The 250,000 normal peak holiday visitors are a predictable increase of about 50% on the indigenous population of 460,000.  Their food requirements can be assessed with a degree of accuracy by the main victuallers.  The unpredictability of the numbers who will be in the county for the eclipse, and how long they will stay, are two factors which will present real challenges for the food retailers.  However, advance bookings of accommodation will give early warning of likely numbers although despite all advice many will still choose to arrive without a booking.  Closer to the event, the existing electronic trip devices on the main roads will give accurate figures for traffic inflows.  The average number of tourists occupying a car has been assessed as three by surveys done in August 1998.  Accurate figures, to include visitors arriving by means other than car, will be useful for all suppliers.

37. Supply problems will be compounded by the lack of warehousing, congestion on the roads and the extremes of August weather which can dramatically change the demands of the consumer.  Additional storage space close to the main retail outlets needs to be identified early.  This survey should include chilling and freezer facilities which will be at a premium.  The large multiples need to examine other methods of resupply such as timings which may require night time, air, rail and sea deliveries.  The problems can be eased somewhat by a county and national campaign informing the public.  Measures which might help include stocking up by households, bringing food in their cars and ‘get you in’ packs awaiting visitors at their campsite on arrival which would be paid for in advance along with their booking deposit. The average household currently does two large shops a week; it would help if this could be reduced to just one shop.

38. The multiples need also to take up any opportunities to buy produce direct from growers and farmers, reversing a trend which has seen most of Cornwall’s excellent produce moved up country for processing prior to being hauled back by road to the supermarkets.  A break in this practice will offer farmers and producers real opportunities to re-establish long term contracts especially for niche areas such as organic foods where consumers want to buy local produce.  Farmers need to negotiate now with the supermarkets crops which they would buy.

DRINK AND WATER

39. As with food, total demand and the type of demand are greatly influenced by the weather and the numbers.  Local brewers and bottlers will have the advantage of being able to respond more quickly to shortages than their national competitors who face congestion on the roads to the south west.  Retailers should be encouraged to build up stocks well before 30 July. Demand by campers for bottled water will be considerable.  Fortunately, campers use considerably less water (about 40 litres per day) than domestic users.  A greater problem is likely to be in maintaining water pressure especially to the peninsulas which tend to be at the end of the pipeline.  Milk Marque has offered to deliver potable water in return for milk all of which will be collected at night.  Bore holes may have to be drilled for the larger campsites.

SEWAGE AND REFUSE

40. The sewage treatment and waste disposal facilities will need to be managed in such a way that they have the necessary capacity to deal with perhaps double their normal throughput at a time of year when bacterial growth is at its most rampant.  Most campsites will be required to hold their sewage for subsequent treatment.  There will need to be a co-ordinated plan and facilities for the emptying and cleansing of the thousands of portaloos which will need to be hired by the local authorities and private ventures for the eclipse period.  One portaloo servicing company has arranged for sewage to be trucked to Wales. Permission may be given for those farmers with sealed slurry tanks which are empty in the summer to be used to store human sewage which can be treated by the sewage works later provided it is not mixed with animal sewage. The Environment Agency is considering all of these issues and should be consulted if in doubt.

41. There will be a major increase in the amount of normal mid-summer refuse, much of it concentrated at the campsites.  Doubling collection during the summer holiday period will prove difficult but necessary especially if the weather is hot.  The public tips have agreed to extend their opening hours to help solve this problem.

FUEL

42. As with food and drink, it will be essential to monitor the numbers of vehicles, aircraft and boats entering and leaving the county in order to calculate how much extra fuel will be required.  Oil companies will need ingenuity to meet likely demand.  For example, they can pre-position fuel in secure locations in tanker trailers, a facility on offer by RAF St Mawgan, and make better use of rail and sea resupply.  On the positive side, there will be seasonally low demand for domestic heating fuel which will free up tankers to resupply the garages with motor fuels and visitors are likely to undertake shorter journeys than normal once they have arrived.   In conjunction with Devon, national and local radio should encourage visitors to fill up before entering the county.  Queues at petrol stations, especially on the main routes, are likely to be considerable and may constrict traffic flow on the adjoining main road. Any traffic delays will result in lower miles per gallon.  Demand for other fuels such as charcoal for barbecues, batteries for campers and butane gas for camp cookers will be exceptional.

CASH AND BANKING

43. Over 80% of purchases made by holidaymakers are with cash.  The average daily spend by tourists for the Tall Ships was £48 per day of which £38 will be cash; a million extra visitors could require £38 million per day.  This figure should be lower as many will bring their own cash, and should be encouraged to so.  However, the ATMs (most hold just £50,000), banks and post offices (many visitors will qualify for benefits) will need to provide additional funds each day.  Special provision, including extra security and insurance, will be needed.  Security vans will face congested roads.  Consideration should be given to providing campsites with a mobile banking service and extending banking hours and days.  Banks will need to be able to speedily re-circulate cash which may require additional staff either from up-country or on a temporary basis.   Credit cards will need to increase the capacity of their telephone based credit verification systems if delays are to be avoided which will exacerbate the likely queues at many check-out points.

EMERGENCY SERVICES

45. Medical:

People die and are injured on holiday.  There will be pressure on hospitals.  It should be possible to project the numbers based on records kept from previous summers.  There may also be statistics based on the link between age and types/frequency of accidents.  Heat exhaustion and heat stroke figures should be available linked to temperature, hours of sunshine and humidity levels.  There is no historical evidence for the numbers of people likely to sustain eye injuries from looking at the sun during an eclipse.  Good public information should keep numbers low but much will depend on the weather. Pharmacists are likely to need increased stocks to cater for hoarding by residents, sensible doubling of prescriptions by GPs to reduce visits and the extra numbers of visitors.

46. Routine, non-emergency clinics may have to be suspended and doctors and district nurses may need to be positioned to move to casualties rather than await arrival by ambulance.   Ambulances will need to be dispersed and augmented by the voluntary ambulance services.  The medical services will need to be given up to date figures on the numbers entering and leaving the county which should enable them to make reasonable predictions of the treatment which will be required.  The Health Authority is addressing the implications of this and will need to bid early for outside assistance if the probable numbers exceed the county’s stretched capability.  For example, based on 5% of visitors per week needing to see a GP,  initial estimates are for an increase of about 90  to the county’s 310 GPs. However, as there are normally 20% away on holiday in August, if leave is taken earlier or later than the three critical eclipse weeks, this shortfall is reduced to just 30 GPs.  It should be possible to recruit 30 locums especially as many GPs will be keen to see the eclipse.

47. Health & Safety:

Whilst statutory health and safety requirements must be met, it will be impossible to inspect every new enterprise.  Instead, sensible and practical guidance must be given using the media.

48. Fire:

The combination of hot weather, camping, overheated vehicles and open air festivals in dry conditions could result in the Fire Service being exceptionally busy.  Guidance will need to be given to those providing temporary accommodation and cooking facilities.  Again, the Fire Brigade - with the other Emergency Services - is planning for these operational demands.

Vehicle Recovery and Repair:

49. Traffic jams cause vehicles to break down, compounding the jam.  Additional breakdown recovery will be required on all the arterial routes into and, later, out of the county.  Police overhead cover will need to be able to communicate with the recovery services probably through control headquarters.  The AA and RAC should be encouraged to provide extra cover and it may prove necessary to advertise nationally for out of county recovery crews to operate in the county for the three week period.  Cormac will cease routine road repairs over the period and will assist with traffic control and clearance at likely pinch points.  The military may also be able to help if requested.  Garage owners will need to extrapolate the likely demand for repair work and reduce their routine servicing schedules to accommodate the increase.  Spare parts distributors should also be able to predict the increased demand for components based on the normal August surge and may need to switch to night time delivery.

50. Crime and Policing:

The usual increase in crime during the summer season will be amplified roughly by the increased ratio of visitors to residents.  The police will also be stretched by traffic control and large events.  The police have cancelled leave and will be fully manned from 30 July to 22 August inclusive.

51. Military Assistance to the Civil Community:  An initial request has been made by the Devon and Cornwall Constabulary through Commander 43 Wessex Brigade to the MOD for assistance from all three Services with traffic controllers, recovery, helicopters for route monitoring and medical facilities during the two main weeks of the eclipse.  The MOD is discussing with the Home Office and other departments methods for funding this support as a Military Assistance to the Civil Community (MACC) project and a positive response is anticipated.

SPECIAL EVENTS
 

52. A number of special events and major festivals are in the early stage of planning.  These are to be encouraged for two reasons: first, they allow large numbers to be controlled in carefully chosen and serviced sites with good access to main routes; and secondly, they should be immense fun and result in people returning in subsequent years.  However, organisers will need to ensure that events require the minimum of policing as police resources will be overstretched.  Events will need to provide adequate security and stewards.  Events which do not require tickets due to full sponsorship require less stewards and police as no perimeter fence will be required.  However, indeterminate numbers expected at free events may increase health and safety risks.

INFORMATION

53. The successful management of the large numbers expected to visit Cornwall will be dependent upon accurate and timely information being given to two groups:  the Cornish; and potential and actual visitors.  To establish a special information system to achieve this dual task in the time and with the resources available would not be possible.  The Northcliffe Group of newspapers, which includes the Western Morning News and the Cornish Weekly Newspapers Groups (18 out of 23 Cornish Newspapers and daily circulation of 140,000 in Cornwall) has agreed to provide the following facilities:

a. An expanded call centre in Truro with a widely publicised eclipse hotline with a dedicated number - 08706 08 11 99.  The call centre will mail anyone seeking information on how to provide a campsite or bed and breakfast with useful guidance much of which has been compiled by the six district planning and environmental health officers.  It will not provide potential visitors with information.

b. A website launched on 26 October  - www.thisiscornwall.co.uk to provide full details on the eclipse, accommodation, what’s on and where, travel and safety information.  Accommodation providers may advertise their hotel, B&B or campsite for a small fee.  The website will receive extensive publicity in national and regional newspapers most of which belong to Northcliffe’s parent company, DMGT.

c. Full page eclipse advertisements and editorials in the Cornish Weekly Newspapers each week from 5 Nov 98.  These will inform and encourage people to make best use of the eclipse opportunity.  They will reach all of the Cornish Weekly Newspapers’ 250,000 Cornish readership.  These pages will largely replace the need for 08706 08 11 99 hotline and its information pack on how to provide accommodation.

d. A new monthly ‘Cornish Issues’ newspaper which will be mailed direct to local, regional and national decision makers, businesses and local authorities.  This will be launched shortly after Christmas.

e. Teletext messages for terrestrial TV.

54. There will be a need for local FM radio stations to be established for the eclipse.  The stations will be similar to FM Tall Ships. One is already planned for the Truro area with a 20 mile radius of listeners.  The BBC have agreed to broadcast public safety messages and traffic information.  The latter will provide a BBC liaison officer at the Devon and Cornwall Police headquarters in Exeter.  BBC local radio stations along the M5 and M4 will push out local traffic updates.

55. Preparing the County.  The county needs to be made aware of the opportunity offered by the eclipse.  An opportunity which, if handled properly, could result both in additional money being spent in the county and many first time visitors returning for further visits.  Cornish humour, music and hospitality should be given full rein.  If the county can develop a festival and carnival atmosphere, this will do much to reduce frustrations caused by congestion and the rigours of temporary campsites.  The aim should be to make jams on the Goss Moor fun!

56. To look after the visitors properly will require temporary camping facilities and entertainment in the larger campsites.  The special situation will require special measures to be taken by the district councils and magistrates if the estimated one million who will have to camp are to be adequately cared for.  Ideally, facilities should be sufficient to prevent the need for campers to take to the roads for their basic needs.  For the roads in and out of the county to cope will require an acceptance that visitors need to be encouraged to have a firm reservation and to allow plenty of time.  While not every visitor will be able to afford the time, students, who will make up a high proportion, will have little difficulty in staying for three weeks or more as well as providing much needed help.

57. Preparing the Visitor.  The facts without sensational embellishment need to be given to those contemplating visiting Cornwall for the eclipse.  First, it will need to be made clear that traffic will be particularly heavy in the days immediately before, during and after the eclipse therefore they should allow plenty of time. Those offering accommodation should be advised to accept bookings of at least a week.  If they have failed to book a bed, then they should consider camping.  They must have a firm reservation before setting off.  They should be made aware that the county will be very crowded and that the infrastructure will be under considerable pressure.  The aim should be to ensure that no visitors are surprised by the abnormal situation they find once they arrive in Cornwall.  If this is done well, visitors’ patience and understanding of slow traffic, queues and occasional shortages will be that much greater.  TV and radio will also play a key role in ensuring that visitors are not surprised by what they find.  The BBC has a statutory duty to provide public safety information.  Lowering expectations will raise tolerance.

MARKETING

58. The eclipse itself will not require any marketing - it is remarkable just how much media attention it has already received.  The eclipse offers Cornwall the opportunity to market itself not just for pleasure but also for business.  Part of the marketing effort will be to allay peoples’ concerns over overcrowding and jammed roads; this can best be done by explaining what measures are being taken.   Once people are in the county, they should be encouraged not to move to the central line of totality on the day of the eclipse as the totality can be seen, albeit for less than the maximum period of 2 minutes 6 seconds in about 85% of the county.  However, the duration builds up sharply as soon as one enters the area of totality with about 80% of the county receiving at least a minute of totality. They need reminding that the whole event takes 2 ½ hrs.

59. In the months ahead, visitors should be told as much as they can about the eclipse and the special events which will occur during the 1999 summer season.  Some visitors will deliberately choose to avoid the eclipse; others will be determined to book their places early.  Owners of holiday accommodation will have the dilemma of allowing their ‘regulars’ to book in with no steep rise in price or to increase prices so sharply that they lose them forever.  The agencies have the added concern that owners may remove their properties from their books for August if they feel that they have not increased the rent sufficiently.  The Cornish Association of Holiday Home Agencies has just agreed to increase prices by between 25% and 35% only for the eclipse period which may be a useful benchmark for others.  Overpricing will damage tourism in the long term and should be discouraged.

60. Public Relations:  The media needs to be kept supplied with newsworthy stories on the eclipse and how Cornwall intends to welcome and entertain the visitors.  This publicity should boost visitor numbers throughout the season and provide the opportunity to highlight the attractions of Cornwall during the off-season months.  For example, Sky News regards this as the biggest event of 1999 and goes out to 70 million people in 40 countries.  They intend to deploy 8 out 9 of their newsgathering teams: 2 to Devon and 6 to Cornwall.  The County Information Officer is in discussion with BT over the setting up of full press and media facilities and helicopter landing site at the Goonhilly visitor centre for the period 6 –13 August.

61. Theme Parks, Museums, Art Galleries, Hall for Cornwall, Cinemas and Theatres:  All the above need to plan for special events or new displays and rides to coincide with the eclipse three weeks.  Opening hours, licences and parking facilities may need to be extended.

EDUCATION

62. The eclipse provides a great opportunity to introduce people to basic astronomy at a time when interest in the solar system and time will be heightened by the approach of the millennium.

a. Schools Programme:  The eclipse is the centre piece of the schools core curriculum for science starting this autumn.  Many schools will organise visits to Cornwall to see the eclipse and will provide the opportunity for Cornish schools to provide them with accommodation.

b. Eye Damage:  There is a major requirement to educate the public about the damage which might be caused to eyes by looking directly at the sun.  Programmes and articles in the local media can show people how to make viewing devices while explaining what they can expect to see. A clear statement on eye safety has now been agreed. This education should include information on other preventive measures to avoid heat stroke, rip-tides and other hazards which could cause injuries to the unwary.

BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES

63. Business Conventions and Displays:  Early hotel bookings may well mean that it is too late to arrange new business conventions to coincide with the eclipse.  However, there are a number of scientific gatherings which have already been arranged.  For example, 300 astronomers and horologists are gathering at Tregothnan.  Groups such as these provide a well informed audience for presentations to raise awareness of Cornish issues.  The range of visitors and methods of arrival offer great opportunities for Cornish businesses to display themselves to potential customers. Despite being regarded as the biggest event of 1999, the eclipse still lacks any major sponsors.

EMERGENCY PLANNING

64. The intensity of activity in, around and over the county during August 1999 will increase the possibility of a major accident occurring.  Emergency Planners will need to ensure that plans are updated and allow for the unprecedented congestion and pressure on resources caused by the eclipse visitors.

CONCLUSIONS

65. The eclipse offers Cornwall a heaven sent opportunity to show itself off to a large and unpredictable number of people many of whom will be first time visitors.  The aim should be to give them such a good time and at a fair price that many return in subsequent years thereby giving a long term boost to Cornish tourism.

66. Because the date of the eclipse is immutable, planning and preparations for the surge of visitors caused by the eclipse can be exercised and rehearsed beforehand.  To waste the remaining months could lead to the opportunity being squandered.  It is essential for ‘one and all’ to accept that special measures, such as MACC and others proposed in this paper, need to be taken if the existing infrastructure is to cope adequately and safely with numbers in excess of its normal capacity without undue damage to the county.

67. To ensure that visitors are given a good time will require ingenuity, good humour and improvisation if the anticipated and predictable challenges in the areas of travel, logistics and accommodation are to be met.  It is concluded that the Cornish infrastructure will be able to cope thereby meeting visitors’ expectations while protecting residents’ rights and boosting the economy in both the short and long term.

 

 



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